ZCM — 日历

经济数据日历

本周 · 截至 2026-06-13

2026-06-09周二

时间事件预期实际

5:15am ADP周度就业人数 — 29.0K

实际

29.0K

预期

—

前值

35.8K

来源Automatic Data Processing, Inc. ( latest release )

衡量Estimated average weekly change in the number of employed people during the previous 4 weeks, excluding the farming industry and government

影响'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency

频率Released weekly, on the first Tuesday about 2 weeks after the rolling four-week period ends

备注This is high-frequency private-sector employment data based on a rolling four-week average, and tends to be more volatile than the monthly ADP Employment Report. The release is skipped in any week that overlaps with publication of the monthly ADP Employment Report. Source first released in Oct 2025

解读Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity

历史实际预期前值

Jun 9, 2026 29.0K — 35.8K

May 27, 2026 35.8K — 40.8K

May 19, 2026 42.3K — 33.0K

May 12, 2026 33.0K — 39.3K

Apr 28, 2026 39.3K — 40.3K

Apr 21, 2026 54.8K — 40.3K

2026-06-10周三

时间事件预期实际

5:30am 核心CPI月率 0.3% —

实际

—

预期

0.3%

前值

0.4%

来源Bureau of Labor Statistics ( latest release )

衡量Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy

影响'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency

频率Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends

备注Food and energy prices account for about a quarter of CPI, but they tend to be very volatile and distort the underlying trend. The Federal Open Market Committee usually pays more attention to the Core data - so do traders

解读Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate

历史实际预期前值

May 12, 2026 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%

Apr 10, 2026 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%

Mar 11, 2026 0.2% 0.2% 0.3%

Feb 13, 2026 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%

Jan 13, 2026 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%

Oct 24, 2025 0.2% 0.3% 0.3%

5:30am 核心CPI年率 2.9% —

实际

—

预期

2.9%

前值

2.8%

来源Bureau of Labor Statistics ( latest release )

衡量Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy

影响'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency

频率Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends

历史实际预期前值

May 12, 2026 2.8% 2.7% 2.6%

Apr 10, 2026 2.6% 2.7% 2.5%

Mar 11, 2026 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%

Feb 13, 2026 2.5% 2.5% 2.6%

Jan 13, 2026 2.6% 2.7% 2.6%

Dec 18, 2025 2.6% 3.0% 3.0%

5:30am CPI月率 0.5% —

实际

—

预期

0.5%

前值

0.6%

来源Bureau of Labor Statistics ( latest release )

衡量Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers

影响'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency

频率Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends

历史实际预期前值

May 12, 2026 0.6% 0.6% 0.9%

Apr 10, 2026 0.9% 1.0% 0.3%

Mar 11, 2026 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%

Feb 13, 2026 0.2% 0.3% 0.3%

Jan 13, 2026 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%

Oct 24, 2025 0.3% 0.4% 0.4%

5:30am CPI年率 4.2% —

实际

—

预期

4.2%

前值

3.8%

来源Bureau of Labor Statistics ( latest release )

衡量Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers

影响'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency

频率Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends

备注This is among the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar

历史实际预期前值

May 12, 2026 3.8% 3.7% 3.3%

Apr 10, 2026 3.3% 3.4% 2.4%

Mar 11, 2026 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%

Feb 13, 2026 2.4% 2.5% 2.7%

Jan 13, 2026 2.7% 2.7% 2.7%

Dec 18, 2025 2.7% 3.1% 3.0%

7:30am EIA原油库存 -3.0M —

实际

—

预期

-3.0M

前值

-8.0M

来源Energy Information Administration ( latest release )

衡量Change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past week

影响'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency

频率Released weekly, 4 days after the week ends

备注While this is a US indicator, it most affects the loonie due to Canada's sizable energy sector

解读It's the primary gauge of supply and demand imbalances in the market, which can lead to changes in production levels and price volatility

历史实际预期前值

Jun 3, 2026 -8.0M -2.9M -3.3M

May 28, 2026 -3.3M -3.8M -7.9M

May 20, 2026 -7.9M -2.5M -4.3M

May 13, 2026 -4.3M -2.0M -2.3M

May 6, 2026 -2.3M -3.4M -6.2M

Apr 29, 2026 -6.2M 0.3M 1.9M

10:01am 10年期国债拍卖 — —

实际

—

预期

—

前值

4.47|2.4

来源Treasury Direct ( latest release )

衡量Highest yield on 10-year bonds the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction

影响No consistent effect - there are both risk and growth implications

频率Conducted monthly

备注Auction results are reported in an 'X.XX|X.X' format - the first number is the highest interest rate of the bonds sold, and the second number is the bid-to-cover ratio (number of bids made per bid accepted)

解读Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence

历史实际预期前值

May 12, 2026 4.47|2.4 — 4.28|2.4

Apr 8, 2026 4.28|2.4 — 4.22|2.4

Mar 11, 2026 4.22|2.4 — 4.18|2.4

Feb 11, 2026 4.18|2.4 — 4.17|2.6

Jan 12, 2026 4.17|2.6 — 4.18|2.6

Dec 9, 2025 4.18|2.6 — 4.07|2.4

2026-06-11周四

时间事件预期实际

5:30am 核心PPI月率 0.5% —

实际

—

预期

0.5%

前值

1.0%

来源Bureau of Labor Statistics ( latest release )

衡量Change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers, excluding food and energy

影响'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency

频率Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends

解读Source changed series calculation formula as of Feb 2014. Food and energy prices make up about 40% of overall PPI which tends to mute the importance of the Core data

历史实际预期前值

May 13, 2026 1.0% 0.3% 0.2%

Apr 14, 2026 0.1% 0.4% 0.3%

Mar 18, 2026 0.5% 0.3% 0.8%

Feb 27, 2026 0.8% 0.3% 0.6%

Jan 30, 2026 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Jan 14, 2026 0.0% 0.2% 0.3%

5:30am PPI月率 0.7% —

实际

—

预期

0.7%

前值

1.4%

来源Bureau of Labor Statistics ( latest release )

衡量Change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers

影响'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency

频率Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends

备注Source changed series calculation formula as of Feb 2014

解读It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when producers charge more for goods and services the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer

历史实际预期前值

May 13, 2026 1.4% 0.5% 0.7%

Apr 14, 2026 0.5% 1.1% 0.5%

Mar 18, 2026 0.7% 0.3% 0.5%

Feb 27, 2026 0.5% 0.3% 0.4%

Jan 30, 2026 0.5% 0.2% 0.2%

Jan 14, 2026 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

5:30am 初请失业金人数 220K —

实际

—

预期

220K

前值

225K

来源Department of Labor ( latest release )

衡量The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week

影响'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency

频率Released weekly, usually on the first Thursday after the week ends

备注This is the nation's earliest economic data. The market impact fluctuates from week to week - there tends to be more focus on the release when traders need to diagnose recent developments, or when the reading is at extremes

解读Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy

历史实际预期前值

Jun 4, 2026 225K 214K 212K

May 28, 2026 215K 211K 210K

May 21, 2026 209K 210K 212K

May 14, 2026 211K 205K 199K

May 7, 2026 200K 205K 190K

Apr 30, 2026 189K 213K 215K

7:30am EIA天然气库存 101B —

实际

—

预期

101B

前值

95B

来源Energy Information Administration ( latest release )

衡量Change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week

影响'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency

频率Released weekly, 5 days after the week ends

解读Inventories are used to maintain price stability during supply shortages and periods of increasing demand

历史实际预期前值

Jun 4, 2026 95B 99B 92B

May 28, 2026 92B 96B 101B

May 21, 2026 101B 96B 85B

May 14, 2026 85B 86B 63B

May 7, 2026 63B 72B 79B

Apr 30, 2026 79B 83B 103B

10:01am 30年期国债拍卖 — —

实际

—

预期

—

前值

5.05|2.3

来源Treasury Direct ( latest release )

衡量Highest yield on 30-year bonds the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction

影响No consistent effect - there are both risk and growth implications

频率Conducted monthly

历史实际预期前值

May 13, 2026 5.05|2.3 — 4.88|2.4

Apr 9, 2026 4.88|2.4 — 4.87|2.5

Mar 12, 2026 4.87|2.5 — 4.75|2.7

Feb 12, 2026 4.75|2.7 — 4.83|2.4

Jan 13, 2026 4.83|2.4 — 4.77|2.4

Dec 11, 2025 4.77|2.4 — 4.69|2.3

2026-06-12周五

时间事件预期实际

7:00am 密歇根大学消费者信心指数(初值) 46.1 —

实际

—

预期

46.1

前值

48.2

来源University of Michigan ( latest release )

衡量Level of a composite index based on surveyed consumers

影响'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency

频率Released monthly, around the middle of the current month

备注There are 2 versions of this data released 14 days apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earlier and thus tends to have the most impact

解读Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity

历史实际预期前值

May 8, 2026 48.2 49.7 49.8

Apr 10, 2026 47.6 51.6 53.3

Mar 13, 2026 55.5 55.0 56.6

Feb 6, 2026 57.3 55.0 56.4

Jan 9, 2026 54.0 53.5 52.9

Dec 5, 2025 53.3 52.0 51.0

7:00am 密歇根大学通胀预期(初值) — —

实际

—

预期

—

前值

4.5%

来源University of Michigan ( latest release )

衡量Percentage that consumers expect the price of goods and services to change during the next 12 months

影响'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency

频率Released monthly, around the middle of the current month

备注There are 2 versions of this data released 14 days apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earlier and thus tends to have the most impact

解读Expectations of future inflation can manifest into real inflation, primarily because workers tend to push for higher wages when they believe prices will rise

历史实际预期前值

May 8, 2026 4.5% — 4.7%

Apr 10, 2026 4.8% — 3.8%

Mar 13, 2026 3.4% — 3.4%

Feb 6, 2026 3.5% — 4.0%

Jan 9, 2026 4.2% — 4.2%

Dec 5, 2025 4.1% — 4.5%

下周 · 截至 2026-06-20

2026-06-17周三

时间事件预期实际

5:30am 核心零售销售月率 — —

实际

—

预期

—

前值

0.7%

来源Census Bureau ( latest release )

衡量Change in the total value of sales at the retail level, excluding automobiles

影响'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency

频率Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends

备注Automobile sales account for about 20% of Retail Sales, but they tend to be very volatile and distort the underlying trend. The Core data is therefore thought to be a better gauge of spending trends

解读It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity

历史实际预期前值

May 14, 2026 0.7% 0.7% 1.9%

Apr 21, 2026 1.9% 1.4% 0.7%

Apr 1, 2026 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%

Mar 6, 2026 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Feb 10, 2026 0.0% 0.3% 0.4%

Jan 14, 2026 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%

5:30am 零售销售月率 — —

实际

—

预期

—

前值

0.5%

来源Census Bureau ( latest release )

衡量Change in the total value of sales at the retail level

影响'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency

频率Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends

备注This is the earliest and broadest look at vital consumer spending data

解读It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity

历史实际预期前值

May 14, 2026 0.5% 0.5% 1.6%

Apr 21, 2026 1.7% 1.4% 0.7%

Apr 1, 2026 0.6% 0.5% -0.1%

Mar 6, 2026 -0.2% -0.3% 0.0%

Feb 10, 2026 0.0% 0.4% 0.6%

Jan 14, 2026 0.6% 0.5% -0.1%

7:00am 成屋签约销售月率 — —

实际

—

预期

—

前值

1.4%

来源National Association of Realtors ( latest release )

衡量Change in the number of homes under contract to be sold but still awaiting the closing transaction, excluding new construction

影响'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency

频率Released monthly, about 19 days after the month ends

备注This data is released about a week later than Existing Home Sales, but it's more forward-looking as a contract is signed several weeks before the home is counted as sold

解读It's a leading indicator of economic health because the sale of a home triggers a wide-reaching ripple effect. For example, renovations are done by the new owners, a mortgage is sold by the financing bank, and brokers are paid to execute the transaction

历史实际预期前值

May 19, 2026 1.4% 1.0% 1.7%

Apr 21, 2026 1.5% 0.0% 2.5%

Mar 17, 2026 1.8% -0.6% -1.0%

Feb 19, 2026 -0.8% 1.4% -7.4%

Jan 21, 2026 -9.3% -0.3% 3.3%

Dec 29, 2025 3.3% 1.0% 2.4%

11:00am 联邦基金利率决议 3.75% —

实际

—

预期

3.75%

前值

3.75%

来源Federal Reserve ( latest release )

衡量Interest rate at which depository institutions lend balances held at the Federal Reserve to other depository institutions overnight

影响'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency

频率Scheduled 8 times per year

备注The rate decision is usually priced into the market, so it tends to be overshadowed by the FOMC Statement, which is focused on the future

解读Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future

历史实际预期前值

Apr 29, 2026 3.75% 3.75% 3.75%

Mar 18, 2026 3.75% 3.75% 3.75%

Jan 28, 2026 3.75% 3.75% 3.75%

Dec 10, 2025 3.75% 3.75% 4.00%

Oct 29, 2025 4.00% 4.00% 4.25%

Sep 17, 2025 4.25% 4.25% 4.50%

2026-06-18周四

时间事件预期实际

5:30am 费城联储制造业指数 — —

实际

—

预期

—

前值

-0.4

来源Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia ( latest release )

衡量Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed manufacturers in Philadelphia

影响'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency

频率Released monthly, on the third Thursday of the current month

备注Above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions

解读It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment

历史实际预期前值

May 21, 2026 -0.4 17.6 26.7

Apr 16, 2026 26.7 10.3 18.1

Mar 19, 2026 18.1 8.3 16.3

Feb 19, 2026 16.3 7.5 12.6

Jan 15, 2026 12.6 -1.6 -10.2

Dec 18, 2025 -10.2 2.5 -1.7

2026-06-19周五

时间事件预期实际

收盘 🧙 四巫日（Quadruple Witching） — —

实际

—

预期

—

前值

—

频率每季度一次（3 / 6 / 9 / 12 月的第三个周五）

解读股指期货、股指期权、个股期货、个股期权四类衍生品同时到期，尾盘（witching hour）成交量与波动明显放大；常与季度指数再平衡撞在同一天，盘尾方向性冲量更强。